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COPA AMERICA - QUARTER FINALS - DAY 1 .:. The Aftermath .:. (my predictions came true)

Sunday, 08 July 07, 01:06 PM

The first day of the quarter-finals of the 2007 Copa America filled all my predictions.

As I wrote on my previous post this year's competition will put in the semifinals the traditional teams of South America.

These saturday's games started to prove me right.

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Game 1:  Venezuela  1  x  4  Uruguay

I'm sincerely very happy for Venezuela playing in the quarter finals. For a team that was always consired the (biggest) underdog in South America - a certain win for all other countries - "Los Viños Tintos" showed a lot of improvement in the competition and I just hope soccer becomes more and more popular in that country.

And I have to say that Venezuela didn't play a bad game against Uruguay. The first half was pretty balanced with both teams being cautious and creating few chances. Uruguay scored first with Forlan at the 37th minute and Arango tied 3 minutes later in a free kick.

And "La Celeste"  kept on pushing the team up against a Venezulelan defense that started to shown signs of exhaustion in the second half.

After Pablo Garcia, in a perfect shot from outside the box, scored the second goal for Uruguay that was it for Venezuela. The defense was tired, the midfield couldn't produce and the offense tried desesperately to move up and tie the game again. "La Celeste" kept control of the ball and waited...

Waited until the right moment to bury Venezuela's hopes. That moment came late in game but it came twice. Cristian Rodiguez scored Uruguay's 3rd goal at the minute 41 and Diego Forlan "closed the coffin" at the minute 45.

Uruguay whooped Venezuela but the large goal difference does not really indicate that Uruguay played that well, or that Venezuela played that bad.

 Man of the Match:  Diego Forlan

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Game 2: Brasil  6  x  1  Chile

One sentence to summarize the game: Robinho & cia. are back and ready to play hard and fight for the Championship!!!

Chile didn't even see the color of the ball in this game. Not because they didn't have space to create, not because Brasil defense suddenly corrected all its deficiencies. No. It was simply because Brasil DOMINATED them.

And I would be very unffair I didn't mention the WONDERFUL goal by Alberto Suazo... An disturbing drible in between Gilberto's legs and a classy lobby shot over Doni, the brazilian goalkeeper.

If Brasil is not a very consistent team at least we can say that when they show at least some of their individual talent, this team can face any opponent ... even Argentina (???)

GOALS:

FIRST HALF --> Juan (15min)  /  Julio Baptista (22min)   /   Robinho (27min)

SECOND HALF-> Robinho (6min)  /  Josué (23min) / Suazo (30min) / Vagner Love (39min)

 

Men of the match: Robinho, Juan and Julio Baptista - they started the whopping

 

IN TIME:

 One of my favorite members here on OLEOLE left this comment on my last post where I predicted the teams that would move to the Semi-Finals:

 Manogil, manogil, you are really off this time. I like Venezuela over Uruguay. Specially since Uruguay cannot play as a team, add to that tha Venezuela is playing at home, and the result is a 2-1 Venezuela. Brasil will advance but they're gona get the scare of their lives...Chile will score and make things tight I think 3-2 Brasil. You are way off with Mexico. I think they have a good chance if they can capitalize. Mexico 2-1 or 3-2. And finally, Argentina will smack the hell out of Peru 3-0.

Well, my friends,  I AM NOT THE TRUTH HOLDER but I've been following this game for 25 years now and I take my games analysis very seriously. I want you guys to question me but also to know that I say what I say based on impartial observations.

I actually LIKE when I get it wrong because that's what makes this game and my profession so interesting: you never know what the outcome is gonna be for sure.

But for this QUARTER FINALS the only game that I would not bet for sure is Mexico and Paraguay. I WANT MEXICO TO WIN BUT I BELIEVE PARAGUAY'S DEFENSE WILL GIVE CASTILLO AND BRAVO A HARD TIME TOMORROW.

But please... keep sending your comments!!!! I really love a good, healthy discussion

 

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Tags: Copa America 2007, Brazil, Uruguay, Venezuela, Chile, copa america, Day 1, Quarter Finals Topics: Copa America 2007, Brazil, Uruguay, Venezuela, Chile
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Posted by ManoGil | Comments (7)

Copa America - Quarter Finals Prospects

Wednesday, 04 July 07, 07:54 AM

 

 We are almost there folks!!!

Tonight we start the last round of the groups stage of the 2007 Copa America.

Things seem to be pretty much defined but I'd like to point out some predictions and the games that will form the QUARTER FINALS

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Group A:

Venezuela now with 4 points won't be able to stop the young Uruguay that needs to win to move forward.

Peru will garantee the first place in the group by beating Bolivia.

Standings (prediction)

1st. Peru - 6pts   .:.  2nd. Uruguay - 6pts  .:.  3rd Venezuela - 4pts 

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Group B

Brazil will beat Ecuador and will jump to 6 points

But Mexico and Chile will settle with a tie which will allow Mexico to be the first in the group with 7pts and will give Chile its 4th point to move to the quarter finals.

Standings (prediction)

1st. Mexico - 7pts  .:.  2nd. Brazil - 6pts  .:. 3rd. Chile - 4pts.

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Group C

No surprises here. I don't think Paraguay is gonna beat Argentina but I wouldn't be surprised if they tied their game. It won't really make a lot of difference at this point for the group. I'm gonna say Argentina is gonna win just because maybe Basille will use some bench players that will be determined to show their qulities, and brother, what a bench!!!

Standings (prediction)

1st. Argentina - 9pts.  .:.  2nd. Paraguay - 6pts.

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So, to me, that's how the QUARTER FINALS will look like:

        X       

     Peru                                            Chile

 

            X  

Venezuela                              Brazil

 

          X   

  Mexico                                 Paraguay

 

          X  

 Argentina                            Uruguay

 

****** Let's just see with my crystal ball is really working now ******

 

LATER TONIGHT:  THE POST GAME ANALISYS OF VENEZUELA vs. URUGUAY

 

See you later!!!

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Tags: Copa America 2007, Venezuela, Copa America quarter-finals Topics: Copa America 2007, Venezuela
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Posted by ManoGil | Comments (1)

Game of the day - VENEZUELA 2 x 0 PERU

Sunday, 01 July 07, 01:04 PM

That game meant the world for Venezuela, a win would garatee the first place in the group and a lost could mean the elimination and for Peru a 0 X 0 would be suficient to push the decision for the game against Bolivia.
So for the first time in this year's Copa America I watched the MOST BORING first half of (anti) soccer. Maybe the only emotion was to see the refferee show the peruvian Garcia a red card for throwin an elbow on Maldonado's face.
And thank god the first half was over!!!
The second half was another story... all elements of a good soccer game were present: goals, bad calls by the refferee, running, arguments, last minute plays...
At the 3rd minute a perfect corner kick by Venezuela and the balls finds Chichero that puts the ball into the net.
Peru, then decided to show up for the game. The game was open. Venezuela tried to explore the counter attack using the advantage of the extra player.
At the minute 14 the play that decided the game in my opinion: It was the best chance for Peru to tie the game. Guerrero believes in a (almost) lost ball on the right side and crosses to the middle of the box, Pizzaro followed the play and before he could push the ball into the empty goal a venezuelan defender trips him... an obvious penalty denied by the refferee Armando Archundia. 
After that, the refferee started losing control of the game. The peruvian players were getting more and more desesperate while Venezuela tried to pass the ball around.
Peru's desperation was a double-edged sword, and the worst happened. In one of Venezuela's counter attack plays, Arismendi takes a good run eith the ball and scores with a  low diagonal shot from outside the box...
That was it for Peru, the penalty that the refferee decided to give them and a second goal for Venezuela with 15 minutes left on the clock was like a bucket of cold water on the teams morale.
Peru still tried to score their first goal and on the last chance game in a free kick caused by "game retardation" from the venezuelan goalkeeper Vega. But nothing happened and the game was over...
Honestly I still didn't see anything special in any of the teams from group A (I didn't watch Uruguay's game today)
Venezuela as the home team is really trying hard to make it at least to the semifinals but I wouldn't bet on that.
Peru has some young talents but they still have a lot to impriove...
Bolivia should enjoy the trip because they're not getting any farther...
And as I said I still want to watch Uruguay playing before giving my opinion...
Tomorrow I'll glue myself to the TV and I will post about the two games...
Hoping that Brazil X Chile, Mexico X Ecuador can perform the best of their potential...
IN TIME:
 * As I said group A is the weakest one in the competition so it's all up to Uruguay and Venezuela to make their way to the next round on their last games... I don't think surprises will happen on this group...
* A good note is that there hasn't been any 0 x 0 in this Copa America yet...
TOMORROW'S GAMES PREDICTIONS 
--> BRAZIL X CHILE  - Brazil will play a better soccer and will win this one 2 X 1
--> MEXICO X ECUADOR - A though game for Mexico because Ecuador will not give Castillo the same space he had against Brazil but if Mexico can count on Guardado on the field I believe they can beat Ecuador and garantee a place in the next round ... Mexico wins 1 x 0

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Tags: Copa America 2007, Venezuela, Peru, copa america, peru, Venezuela Topics: Copa America 2007, Venezuela, Peru
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Posted by ManoGil | Comments (5)